2 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1504
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cmil
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1475
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mejzlik🌟Mejzlik covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Cmil
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H6-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.