2 Jul · 13:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1431
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Leonenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1468
FormLWLWL
46%
54%
🌟Leonenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (22)
Fair odds · Leonenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.