2 Jul · 12:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1431
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Melnykov
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1437
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Melnykov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.