2 Jul · 14:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kiilo
ELO 1409
FormLLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Yurkov
DY
🇺🇦Dmytro Yurkov
ELO 1605
FormLWLLW
30%
70%
🌟Kiilo rarely covers set handicap as underdog 22% (18)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
11%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H47-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-8)