2 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1493
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jnr
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1403
FormLLWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)