2 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1613
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Maksuta
VM
🇺🇦Volodymir Maksuta
ELO 1622
FormLLWLL
49%
51%
🌟Lievshin goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Maksuta
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.