2 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1730
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kasyanov
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1731
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Lushchyk covers set handicap as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Kasyanov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H56-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.