2 Jul · 15:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1513
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tiutiunnyk
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1506
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Tiutiunnyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.