2 Jul · 16:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1449
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Treschetka
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1454
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H33-61
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.