2 Jul · 15:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1550
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zhyrnov
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Blashkun
ELO 1466
FormWWWLL
59%
41%
🌟Blashkun stays under total as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Zhyrnov
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)