2 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nazarov
ELO 1558
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Nazarov
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1555
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Kuzyshyn covers set handicap as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Nazarov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H23-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.