2 Jul · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1556
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Yurkov
DY
🇺🇦Dmytro Yurkov
ELO 1605
FormLWLLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kushnirenko🌟Kushnirenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (61)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H56-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-18)