2 Jul · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1449
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chyzh
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1476
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Chyzh
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.