2 Jul · 17:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
A1
🇺🇦Andrii Sydorenko 1979
ELO 1568
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.851979
VR
🇺🇦Vadim Reva
ELO 1530
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
🌟Reva covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · 1979
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H36-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.