2 Jul · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1534
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sukovatyi
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1615
FormWLLWW
41%
59%
🌟Sukovatyi stays under total as favourite 63% (41)
Fair odds · Sukovatyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H29-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-17)