2 Jul · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1627
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Maksymiv
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Slozka
ELO 1538
FormLLWWL
59%
41%
🌟Maksymiv rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (42)
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H23-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-10)