2 Jul · 18:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1550
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zhyrnov
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1513
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Zhyrnov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
Elo Gap+37
H2H14-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.