2 Jul · 14:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1627
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Maksymiv
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1615
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sukovatyi🌟Sukovatyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H16-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.