2 Jul · 11:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1437
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1490
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
🌟Kurtenko stays under total as favourite 67% (43)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)