2 Jul · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇺🇦Petr Provaznik
ELO 1527
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bertho
TB
🇺🇦Tadeas Bertho
ELO 1598
FormLLWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Bertho
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)