2 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hanke
ELO 1615
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hanke
TB
🇺🇦Tadeas Bertho
ELO 1598
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Bertho covers set handicap as underdog 67% (30)
Fair odds · Hanke
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.