2 Jul · 17:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1595
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Radkovsky
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1648
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Radkovsky
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)