2 Jul · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mishchenko
ELO 1535
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Mishchenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr V Kovalchuk
ELO 1457
FormWLWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Mishchenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H74-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (74-47)