2 Jul · 17:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ER
🇺🇦Eduard Rubtsov
ELO 1414
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rubtsov
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Skachenko
ELO 1344
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Rubtsov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H15-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-12)