2 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hanke
ELO 1615
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hanke
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hybl
ELO 1589
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Hanke
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.