2 Jul · 19:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SR
🇺🇦Stepan Rejent
ELO 1504
FormLWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1616
FormWWLWW
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rejent🌟Rejent covers set handicap as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H15-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-9)