3 Jul · 12:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1444
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Treschetka
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1453
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H33-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.