3 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇺🇦Jan Rochowanski
ELO 1547
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rochowanski
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1484
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Liska covers set handicap as underdog 63% (35)
Fair odds · Rochowanski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)