3 Jul · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1444
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vivatenko
MV
🇺🇦Mykhailo Vivatenko
ELO 1527
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Vivatenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H25-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-1)