3 Jul · 12:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1733
FormLWLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Balabei
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1556
FormWLWLL
68%
32%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kushnirenko🌟Kushnirenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (61)
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+177
H2H71-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (71-15)