3 Jul · 12:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1458
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chyzh
DB
🇺🇦Dmitriy Belanchik
ELO 1413
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Chyzh
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)