3 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1486
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ivanov
RI
🇺🇦Ruslan Ivanov
ELO 1500
48%
52%
Fair odds · Ivanov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.