3 Jul · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇺🇦Oleh Volynets
ELO 1533
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1577
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H48-42
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-42)