3 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DB
🇺🇦Dmitriy Belanchik
ELO 1413
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Treschetka
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1453
FormWLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.