3 Jul · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1524
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Karpenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1601
FormWWWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~72 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H12-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)