3 Jul · 09:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1458
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vivatenko
MV
🇺🇦Mykhailo Vivatenko
ELO 1527
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Vivatenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)