3 Jul · 13:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LP
🇺🇦Lukas Provaznik
ELO 1574
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Radkovsky
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1636
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
🌟Provaznik covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Radkovsky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)