3 Jul · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1577
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kovshun
OV
🇺🇦Oleh Volynets
ELO 1533
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H26-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-19)