3 Jul · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1458
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chyzh
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1453
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Chyzh
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.