3 Jul · 11:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1554
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Nitchenko
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1610
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
🌟Derevianko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (47)
Fair odds · Nitchenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H17-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-7)