3 Jul · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Mykhailo Vivatenko
ELO 1527
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kheresko
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1556
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Kheresko stays under total as favourite 67% (21)
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.