3 Jul · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1601
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Karpenko
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1577
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H26-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.