3 Jul · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1577
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kovshun
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1577
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H54-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.