3 Jul · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1455
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skorobahatyi
YS
🇺🇦Yevhen Skorobahatyi
ELO 1512
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Skorobahatyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H8-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)