3 Jul · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Makara
ELO 1596
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1636
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Heinzl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (41)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.