3 Jul · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1577
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kovshun
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1524
FormLWLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H24-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)