3 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1485
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vorel
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1465
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kubos🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (23)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H10-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.