3 Jul · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PW
🇺🇦Petr Wasik
ELO 1685
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wasik
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1636
FormWWWWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Wasik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)