3 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DB
🇺🇦Dmitriy Belanchik
ELO 1413
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Maslovskyi
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1444
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Maslovskyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.