3 Jul · 13:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1602
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Nitchenko
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1610
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
🌟Lievshin goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Nitchenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.